A. J.
Why this founder surfaced, what the evidence supports today, and the next fact that would most reduce uncertainty.
Why is this person worth attention?
First-time sole author on a preprint. No company, no domain, no repo, no funding, no network. Twelfth on the raw board and first once access signals are regressed out — and with n=2 the interval is 41 points wide, which is the honest way to say we have almost nothing on her yet. Wide is not the same as low.
A new research paper created a technical-founder signal before the person had company or investor visibility.
arxivFounder signal 82.6 after access advantages are removed. The evidence is still early.
early-stage recordThere is not enough direct evidence yet to be highly confident. A wide range is more honest than a low score.
uncertainty stays visibleContact the founder with one specific question about the highest-impact missing evidence.
No opportunity opened yetDecision axesFounder, market and idea-versus-market stay separate
Founder
?insufficient data·1ptsMarket
?insufficient data·1ptsCategorical on purpose. There is no number here to average with the other two axes.
Idea vs Market
?insufficient data·1ptsHow the estimate was formedCold-start prior, history and score definitions
Cold-start bench
How much is direct evidence, how much is a reference-class prior, and what would narrow the range.
No cold-start bench block for this person at this asof.
Founder score history
Append-only versions preserve the person’s record across ventures.
No score history at this snapshot.
Complete recordEvery remaining field, for auditability
- Person id
- per_aj
- Display name
- A. J.
- Pseudonymized
- true
- Is real person
- true
- Refuter enabled
- false
- Provenance class
- live
- Contact status
- public_email
- Channels
- arxiv
- First observed at
- 2026-06-21T00:00:00Z
- Sector
- ml_systems
- Founder type
- technical
- Deterministic only
- true
- Axes disagree
- false
- Note
- First-time sole author on a preprint. No company, no domain, no repo, no funding, no network. Twelfth on the raw board and first once access signals are regressed out — and with n=2 the interval is 41 points wide, which is the honest way to say we have almost nothing on her yet. Wide is not the same as low.